Sunday, September 9, 2007

Season Preview

For posterity, here is my post-draft analysis from August. Note the prescient comments...

As always at College Football Analysis Central, we like to inject some public service into the presentation. So since college football is truly a uniting influence in America, from the spires of Chestnut Hill to the breaking waves near Aloha Stadium, from the Big House to the Grove, from raucous Autzen to the world's biggest cocktail party, I present this year's draft in the context of the 2008 Presidential race.
Goldy: Barack Obama
What does he want to be? A dyed-in-the-wool Ohioan spending $34 on Michigan? Headline in the Cleveland Plain Dealer today: "Goldy Chooses UM; Asked To Turn In State ID Card By Noon". Looking for the feelgood story of the year, but really just grasping for straws with his last 12-13 picks. Truly The Audacity of Hope.
Jerry: John McCain
Last year's team. $68 on last year's Title Game participants is living in the past, as the Buckeyes were utterly exposed in the BCS while Florida's luck will run out sooner or later. South Florida at $9 could be the steal of the draft, but it won't stop him from dropping out of contention by November.
Coleman: Hillary Clinton
Current front runner with all the bases covered: Title contender (WVU), Solid BCS depth, breakout potential. But don't you get the feeling that Coleman will find some way to screw this up? Who knows what skeletons are in Coleman's closet?
Baradel: Fred Thompson
Very recognizable but the bottom line is chances are slim. Cal is set up for a fall and Alabama and Notre Dame will pay their coaches a lot of money and play on TV, but substance is lacking.
Easty: Mike Bloomberg
Savvy planning will set this team up for a late run. Does anyone remember who coaches South Carolina? That's right--The Ol' Ball Coach. Spurrier has proven that he can play with the big boys in the SEC on the road (and he's going to have to this year). And don't count out Joe Pa from going out in a blaze of glory.
Charlie/Kevin: John Edwards
All that money for nothing. I do propose a lifetime ban on Kevin (before he was ever officially part of the pool) if this team wins, but that ain't happening. Hawaii and Florida State do have some nice upside, but he actually overspent for some very bad teams (GT, UVA)
Hensh: Mitt Romney
The Commonwealth's finest, nice mix of public and private sector accomplishment, but there is that lurking sceptre of unwinnability. It's true that Iowa does not have to play Ohio St or Michigan this year (did Hensh mention that?), but they still have to beat somebody and aren't very good. Hopes rest on riding the emotional Va Tech wave--that crest may break early.
Bart: Rudy Giuliani
Feisty, combative, always in the mix. Rutgers looks like great value at $19 compared to $41 each for WV/Louisville. However the Big East may be overvalued this year and suffer crippling upsets. Boise State is an interesting case this year--would rather have them than Hawaii. An LSU loss or two would make it really tough for Bart to win though.
Goggles: Al Gore
The Inconvenient Truth is that Goggles has very little mathematical chance of winning. I think we all have to root for USC so that they suck away valuable points that others may take. And can somebody buy Googles a TiVo (or at least a VCR recorder)?
Brock: Tommy Thompson
Has only lately figured out that putting all your eggs in Wisconsin's basket is not a winning strategy. True, if this were the State Championship of the Badgers, Brock would win every year. But they count votes from the "Other 49", so Brock is forced to consider other schools. Nebraska at $18 could be good value, if only they didn't have to play the Big XII title game.
I was very impressed that 97 teams were chosen (94 not by Goggles), but since only 40-45 will score points, that depth is illusatory. Good luck to all--looking forward to the journey.

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